Free Livestream
The Warning Signal That Appears Before Major Market Tops
Saturday, October 3rd, 2026 at 10 AM ET
Free registration. No credit card required. We'll email your livestream link before the event.
The Market Often Whispers Before It Breaks
Major market declines rarely begin with a headline that tells investors what to do. Long before the risk becomes obvious, smart institutional money moves beneath the surface—away from aggression and toward defense. This has proven to be an excellent topping signal.
Most investors do not see that rotation until prices are already falling. By then, the decision is emotional: sell into weakness, hold and hope, or wait for manipulative media to explain what already happened.
Tom Bowley has spent decades studying the market’s internal behavior. One of his proprietary measures strips away overnight gaps and focuses on what institutions are doing during the trading day. Viewed cumulatively, this institutionally-led rotation has produced an unusually consistent warning pattern before major market tops.
On October 3rd, he's opening the playbook.
He’ll show you how subtle shifts in intraday money flow can expose institutional positioning that closing prices—and even overnight gaps—may conceal. You’ll see the historical pattern that appeared before major cyclical tops, including the one notable exception, and learn how Tom calculates and uses the signal as part of a disciplined risk-management process—not as a guarantee or a black-box prediction.
Ready to level up your toolkit?
Why Listen to Tom Bowley?
A market call deserves more than confidence after the fact. It deserves a date, a documented point of view, and a result you can inspect.
Tom’s record includes public warnings delivered while markets were still near their highs—not explanations published after the decline.
Here are some of Tom's prior calls:
Tom's Call #1:
September 2020: Elevated Risk Before a 10.5% Pullback
On September 3, 2020, Tom published “2 Sentiment Indicators Are Suggesting Extreme Caution—BEWARE!” He explicitly said the warning was not a guarantee and framed technical analysis as a risk-management tool. Beginning that day, the S&P 500 declined from 3,588.11 to 3,209.45, a 10.5% pullback.
Read Tom’s September 3, 2020 warning on StockCharts
Tom's Call #2:
January 2022: A 20-25% Risk Scenario Before the Bear Market
At Market Vision 2022 on January 8, Tom said, “I think we can see as much as a 20–25% decline followed by a major rally.” The S&P 500 had closed at 4,677.03 on January 7. By February 24 it had fallen to 4,114.65, a 12.0% decline—and the larger 2022 bear market ultimately followed.
Watch the timestamped Market Vision 2022 call
Tom's Call #3:
January 2025: A Correction Warning Before a 16% Decline
During Market Vision 2025 on January 4, Tom presented a chart stating that the market could see a 10% correction during the year. From the January 3 close of 5,942.47 to April 8, the S&P 500 fell to 4,982.77—a 16.1% decline.
Market Vision 2025 presentation slide supplied by EanringsBeats
Tom's Call #4:
2026: The Current Setup
On January 2nd, after the S&P 500 had posted three consecutive years of strong gains, Tom published “Warning Signs Are Growing, Be Prepared!” He showed that the index’s three-year return had nearly reached 90%—a rare historical condition that had often been followed by substantial selling—and challenged the unanimous Wall Street consensus for another higher year. Major indices subsequently entered 10%+ correction territory during the first quarter.
Read Tom’s January 2, 2026 warning on StockCharts
Tom has researched markets for more than 40 years, contributed to StockCharts.com since 2006, and today serves as Chief Market Strategist at EarningsBeats. His edge is not certainty. It is a documented process for recognizing risk, staying objective, and showing investors his work.
This Free Livestream Is for You If...
- You manage your own portfolio and want a clearer process for deciding when market risk is rising
- You have meaningful gains to protect and do not want to recognize the next correction only after it appears on CNBC
- You've watched a technically sound plan collapse under the pressure of headlines and emotion
- You value transparent methodology and want to see the calculation—not simply receive a prediction
- You want to distinguish normal volatility from the kind of institutional rotation that can precede a major top
This session is educational. It is not a promise to identify every market turn, and the signal should never be used in isolation. You'll leave with an understanding of what Tom measures, why he measures it, and what the historical pattern can reveal.
Don't wait for the headline to tell you the top is in.
Get prepared before it happens.
See the evidence. Learn the calculation. Build a more disciplined way to recognize when institutional money is turning defensive.
👉 Join Tom Bowley live on Saturday, October 3rd at 10 AM ET
During this webinar, you'll learn:
The hidden institutional behavior Tom monitors before a major market top becomes obvious in the headline indexes
Why intraday money flow can tell a different story from the market's closing price–and why overnight gaps can distort the picture
The cumulative threshold that has preceded the major cyclical tops in Tom's study since 1999
How Tom's proprietary signal behaved around prior corrections and bear markets, including the one historic exception Tom openly acknowledges
The exact calculation, step by step, so you can understand the methodology rather than taking a black-box signal on faith
How to separate a warning from a guarantee and use the information as part of a disciplined risk-management process
This "Warning Signal Before Major Market Tops" event is perfect for:
Aspiring Investors building a disciplined market process.
If you’re developing your approach to investing, this event will show you how market risk can build beneath the headline indexes before a major decline becomes obvious.
You’ll learn why institutional money may begin shifting toward defensive areas, how intraday activity can reveal behavior closing prices miss, and what Tom’s historical signal has shown before major market tops.
Tom will explain the methodology in clear, practical terms so you can separate evidence from noise and build a more confident framework for protecting your capital.
Experienced Investors seeking
another risk-management edge.
If you’ve managed your own portfolio through multiple market cycles, you know the most important warnings often appear before prices begin falling.
This event will sharpen your understanding of institutional rotation, intraday money flow, and the cumulative threshold Tom has observed before major market tops.
You’ll see how the signal behaved around previous corrections and bear markets—and how to incorporate it into an established process without treating any single indicator as a guarantee or reacting emotionally after the market has already moved.
Don't miss out!
Here's how to join the "Warning Signal Before Major Market Tops" event:
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On Saturday, October 3rd, simply click the link sent to your inbox and immerse yourself in the wealth of expert knowledge and insights shared during the live webinar.
Be Confident
Use Tom Bowley's educational tips to make informed decisions aligned with your unique financial goals. Take control of your financial situation with expert guidance.
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"Tom continues to demonstrate why I have been a member now for almost 2 years and plan to continue. I find a lot of value in this style of analyzing-reporting. Tom also has the courage to publicly take a stand on his views." -George F.
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Meet The Experts
Tom Bowley, Chief Market Strategist
Tom practiced as a CPA in public accounting for 20 years, resulting in his fundamental understanding of the stock market that is unmatched by fellow market technicians. This background, in conjunction with his technical analysis prowess gained from his 40+ years of stock market research, is a powerful combination.
Today, Tom teaches an international EarningsBeats community of thousands how to effectively manage risk in trades and investments. A historian at heart, Tom relies on his market research spanning 100+ years in his teachings. In addition to his work at EarningsBeats, Tom writes for StockCharts.com which he has contributed to since 2006.
John Hopkins, President
John co-founded EarningsBeats in 2004 and has been active in the financial services industry for more than four decades. He's provided services to EarningsBeats.com members since 2004. John's passion is to provide the highest level of service possible to EarningsBeats members.
John has been active in technical analysis for 25+ years and his voice has been heard globally since founding Invested Central, serving as the host of "Market Open Live", a national radio broadcast that was featured in major cities around the U.S., while also authoring bi-weekly articles in the StockCharts.com ChartWatchers newsletter sent to investors around the world.